On defense, the 49ers enter Week 17 averaging 21.3 points per game (11th in the NFL), while the Bears are 19th at 23.6 points per game. The 49ers have the superior run defense; they rank 8th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game, whereas the Bears are 27th.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 on a 52-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

According to NFL.com, the Bears currently have a 79 percent chance of making the playoffs. If Chicago beats Green Bay, that jumps to 95 percent. But if the Bears get swept by the Packers, it falls to 61 percent. Assuming Chicago takes care of business against Green Bay, there's a likelihood they could earn a postseason berth by Week 16's end.

Caleb Williams lofted a 46-yard touchdown pass to receiver DJ Moore for a walk-off touchdown in overtime, giving the Chicago Bears a 22-16 win over the Green Bay Packers on Saturday night.