A new study introduces a global probabilistic forecasting model that predicts when and where ionospheric disturbances—measured by the Rate of total electron content (TEC) Index (ROTI)—are likely to ...

A peer-reviewed industry survey highlighting gaps in traditional demand forecasting and the role of AI in new product ...

The tool merges with human geopolitical expertise to help make better decisions, faster.

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

A single protein in your blood can rise for years before Alzheimer’s symptoms appear. In a new study, researchers argue that ...

If you're not a Federal Reserve economist, you should probably still be wary of Kalshi.

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Discover actuarial reserving in P&C insurance—from methods to innovations—enhancing stability and strategy. ✓ Subscribe for ...

The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...

By Hugo Francisco de Souza A new plasma biomarker clock offers an early glimpse into Alzheimer’s timing, potentially reshaping prevention research and therapeutic trials. Study: Predicting onset of ...

Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...