The Sleeping Beauty paradox is a thought experiment that challenges how probability should be understood when memory and ...

Richard Hughes may have failed during the summer transfer window but Arne Slot is to blame for the shambles right now ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

Teams that win the coin toss now face a big decision. Should they kick or receive? There’s no right answer.

BCA Research's chief geopolitical strategist lays out potential market risks and how to plan for black swan events.

The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro is rippling through prediction markets, driving bets on regime change risks in Iran, Cuba, and Colombia.

From the size of their Super Bowl menus to how they handle limiting, discover the key differences between sportsbooks and prediction markets.

The Bills are the betting favorites to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl after knocking off the Jaguars in the wild-card round.Buffalo is +240 (29.4% implied probability) to win the conference on ...

Arkansas vs Vanderbilt picks and predictions for January 12. See the best Razorbacks vs Commodores basketball bets and latest ...

Project Management Institute Research Finds Holistic Application Of Its M.O.R.E. Framework Dramatically Improves Outcomes ...

Learn how to trade Super Bowl LX at prediction markets. We explore the legal status of event contracts, account compliance, ...